As the 2023/24 Premier League season draws to a close, a pivotal clash is set to occur between Burnley and Nottingham Forest at Turf Moor on May 19, 2024. This match promises to be more than just a regular game, with substantial implications at both ends of the table.
Match Preview: Burnley vs Nottingham Forest
Date: May 19, 2024
Competition: Premier League, Round 38
Venue: Turf Moor
Asian Handicap
Full-Time: 0.25:0
Total Goals
First Half: 1.5
Full-Time: 3
Corner Kicks
First Half: 5
Full-Time: 10.5
Match Outcome Prediction
Nottingham Forest is nearly safe from relegation, boasting a three-point lead over their closest rivals, Luton, with a superior goal difference of plus twelve. On the other side, Burnley faces the grim reality of relegation after just one season back in the top-flight. Despite the pressure, the match is likely to conclude in a draw, reflecting both teams’ challenges throughout the season.
Probability Analysis
- Nottingham Forest to win: 38.74% likelihood
- Burnley to win: 37.37% likelihood
- Draw: 23.9% likelihood
Possible Scorelines
- Most likely for Nottingham Forest victory: 1-2 (8.48%)
- Next likely outcomes: 0-1 (7.1%), 0-2 (5.54%)
- Most likely for Burnley victory: 2-1 (8.3%)
- Most likely draw: 1-1 (10.85%)
Key Insights for the Match
Burnley, placed 19th, has only one win in their last ten home matches, while Nottingham Forest, in 17th place with 29 points, has secured two wins in their last ten away fixtures. Their recent head-to-head encounters show a slight edge for Burnley with two wins and three draws in their last five matchups.
Team News
- Burnley: Al Dakhil, Beyer, Ramsey, and Redmond are injured. Koleosho’s participation is doubtful.
- Nottingham Forest: Williams is out due to injury.
Expected Lineups
- Burnley: Murić (GK), Taylor, O’Shea, Vitinho, Esteve, Assignon, Berge, Cullen, Bruun Larsen, Foster, Odobert
- Nottingham Forest: Sels (GK), Boly, Aina, Niakhaté, Montiel, Murillo, Gibbs-White, Yates, Danilo, Wood, Hudson-Odoi
Recent Form and Final Thoughts
Both teams have shown moderate scoring capabilities, with Burnley netting 8 goals in their last five games and Nottingham Forest scoring 7. This matchup is expected to be open and competitive, given that both teams might play without the usual pressure, having mostly settled their immediate futures.
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